— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
75¢
aifs
27¢
hres
23¢
wn2
14¢
eps
14¢
nbm
10¢
ndfd
7¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F12¢
76–77°F14¢
78–79°F16¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F11¢
84–85°F8¢
86–87°F4¢
88–89°F2¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,214 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.858 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLAX-20261025-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape