daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Fri Oct 16

New York high ≥ 75°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 75

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		81¢
icon		75¢
nbm		68¢
ndfd		56¢
eps		56¢
wn2		49¢
aifs		43¢
rrfs		29¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261016-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-14T03:45:23+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:51:24+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape