daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

New York high ≥ 55°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 63

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 55°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		100¢
aifs		99¢
wn2		99¢
eps		97¢
hres		87¢
ndfd		55¢
nbm		43¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261017-TMAX-GE55 · opened 2026-10-12T15:26:26+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:07:29+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape