— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
93¢
wn2
84¢
icon
80¢
hres
79¢
eps
68¢
nbm
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
48–49°F1¢
50–51°F3¢
52–53°F7¢
54–55°F15¢
56–57°F21¢
58–59°F22¢
60–61°F17¢
62–63°F9¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,104 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.883.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLGA-20261018-TMAX-GE56 · opened 2026-10-11T11:19:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape