daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sun Oct 18

New York high ≥ 60°F · Sun Oct 18

50¢

american -100 · decimal 2.0

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 60°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		78¢
aifs		60¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		41¢
eps		40¢
hres		34¢
icon		28¢
rrfs		24¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261018-TMAX-GE60 · opened 2026-10-14T15:11:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape