— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
57¢
ndfd
53¢
wn2
47¢
icon
43¢
nbm
37¢
eps
21¢
hres
11¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
50–51°F1¢
52–53°F3¢
54–55°F8¢
56–57°F15¢
58–59°F21¢
60–61°F21¢
62–63°F16¢
64–65°F9¢
66–67°F4¢
68–69°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,263 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.483 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLGA-20261024-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-18T04:13:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape