— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
83¢
aifs
74¢
hres
60¢
nbm
56¢
icon
26¢
eps
26¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F2¢
60–61°F4¢
62–63°F10¢
64–65°F16¢
66–67°F20¢
68–69°F20¢
70–71°F14¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F3¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,335 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.605 vs climatology 8.757.
Receipts
prop id WP-KLGA-20261026-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-19T07:32:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape