daily prop · New York, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 26

New York runs hot-for-here: 72°F+ · Mon Oct 26

14¢

american +637 · decimal 7.37

on the tape

72°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 72°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		52¢
aifs		41¢
hres		30¢
icon		13¢
nbm		9¢
eps		3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F2¢

60–61°F4¢

62–63°F10¢

64–65°F16¢

66–67°F20¢

68–69°F20¢

70–71°F14¢

72–73°F8¢

74–75°F3¢

76–77°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,335 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.605 vs climatology 8.757.

Receipts

prop id WP-KLGA-20261026-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-19T07:32:30+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape