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daily prop · Kansas City, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

Kansas City high ≥ 77°F · Tue Oct 20

13¢
american +641 · decimal 7.41
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
54¢
aifs
30¢
icon
16¢
nbm
13¢
wn2
12¢
hres
11¢
eps
9¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F47¢
72–73°F25¢
74–75°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMCI-20261020-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:42+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape