daily prop · Orlando, FL · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 22

Orlando stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 75°F · Thu Oct 22

2¢

american +6523 · decimal 66.23

on the tape

75°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		24¢
rrfs		23¢
icon		13¢
aifs		5¢
ndfd		3¢
nbm		2¢
wn2		1¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

74–75°F1¢

76–77°F8¢

78–79°F24¢

80–81°F34¢

82–83°F24¢

84–85°F8¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMCO-20261022-TMAX-LE75 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:01+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape