daily prop · Memphis, TN · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 1

Memphis high ≥ 91°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 93

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 91°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		95¢
eps		85¢
wn2		80¢
aifs		79¢
rrfs		71¢
hres		71¢
nbm		67¢
ndfd		56¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMEM-20261001-TMAX-GE91 · opened 2026-09-28T03:27:35+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:05+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape