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daily prop · Memphis, TN · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Memphis high ≥ 78°F · Tue Oct 20

62¢
american -161 · decimal 1.62
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1510/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
75¢
eps
72¢
aifs
71¢
ndfd
55¢
hres
49¢
icon
47¢
wn2
37¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F3¢
76–77°F25¢
78–79°F47¢
80–81°F22¢
82–83°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMEM-20261020-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-17T15:24:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape