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daily prop · Memphis, TN · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Memphis high ≥ 80°F · Tue Oct 20

37¢
american +167 · decimal 2.67
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
59¢
ndfd
56¢
aifs
53¢
eps
38¢
icon
29¢
hres
24¢
wn2
16¢
rrfs
8¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F3¢
76–77°F25¢
78–79°F47¢
80–81°F22¢
82–83°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMEM-20261020-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-14T15:12:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape