daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 16

Miami high ≥ 88°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 88°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 12¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		96¢
wn2		70¢
aifs		62¢
icon		61¢
nbm		59¢
hres		41¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261016-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-09T07:51:06+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:51:55+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape