— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
98¢
hres
61¢
icon
60¢
aifs
57¢
wn2
56¢
nbm
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F7¢
82–83°F18¢
84–85°F28¢
86–87°F26¢
88–89°F14¢
90–91°F5¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,102 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.884.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMIA-20261018-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-11T07:31:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape