daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Miami runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Sun Oct 18

3¢

american +3884 · decimal 39.84

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		8¢
ndfd		7¢
wn2		5¢
nbm		5¢
icon		5¢
eps		4¢
rrfs		4¢
hres		3¢
hrrr		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F1¢

80–81°F5¢

82–83°F16¢

84–85°F28¢

86–87°F28¢

88–89°F16¢

90–91°F5¢

92–93°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,052 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.892.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261018-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-11T07:31:53+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape