daily prop · Miami, FL · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Miami stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 80°F · Tue Oct 20

3¢

american +3853 · decimal 39.53

on the tape

80°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		43¢
icon		40¢
hres		20¢
aifs		11¢
nbm		6¢
wn2		4¢
ndfd		4¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F1¢

80–81°F6¢

82–83°F21¢

84–85°F35¢

86–87°F26¢

88–89°F9¢

90–91°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMIA-20261020-TMAX-LE80 · opened 2026-10-18T11:48:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape