daily prop · Milwaukee, WI · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Milwaukee high ≥ 63°F · Mon Oct 19

YES

settled · observed 67

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 63°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 5¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		89¢
nbm		56¢
aifs		56¢
eps		55¢
hres		52¢
icon		51¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMKE-20261019-TMAX-GE63 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:21+00:00 · settled 2026-10-20T13:58:54+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape