— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
40¢
eps
14¢
nbm
6¢
hres
5¢
aifs
1¢
ndfd
1¢
wn2
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F24¢
76–77°F27¢
78–79°F19¢
80–81°F8¢
82–83°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,423 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.751 vs climatology 9.329.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20260912-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-09-07T20:07:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape