WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Sep 14

Minneapolis high ≥ 71°F · Mon Sep 14

35¢
american +188 · decimal 2.88
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢08/3009/1009/14 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
93¢
ndfd
56¢
hres
41¢
wn2
29¢
nbm
28¢
aifs
17¢
icon
1¢
rrfs
1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F7¢
64–65°F19¢
66–67°F30¢
68–69°F26¢
70–71°F12¢
72–73°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260914-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-09-08T03:38:23+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape