daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Sep 14

Minneapolis runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Mon Sep 14

2¢

american +4951 · decimal 50.51

on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		16¢
aifs		7¢
nbm		4¢
eps		4¢
icon		1¢
wn2		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F1¢

62–63°F4¢

64–65°F15¢

66–67°F27¢

68–69°F29¢

70–71°F17¢

72–73°F6¢

74–75°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260914-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-09-07T20:07:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape