WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Wed Sep 16

Minneapolis high ≥ 72°F · Wed Sep 16

59¢
american -143 · decimal 1.7
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 72°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0109/0909/16 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
79¢
eps
66¢
nbm
54¢
hres
54¢
wn2
52¢
icon
20¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F10¢
72–73°F26¢
74–75°F32¢
76–77°F21¢
78–79°F7¢
80–81°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260916-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-09-09T07:37:21+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape