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daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Fri Sep 18

Minneapolis high ≥ 62°F · Fri Sep 18

94¢
american -1455 · decimal 1.07
★ golden on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0309/1209/18 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
100¢
wn2
100¢
rrfs
95¢
hrrr
93¢
aifs
79¢
hres
70¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
56¢
icon
25¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F6¢
62–63°F27¢
64–65°F42¢
66–67°F22¢
68–69°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260918-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-09-18T03:02:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape