— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
92¢
eps
65¢
wn2
56¢
ndfd
54¢
hres
49¢
nbm
45¢
aifs
14¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F4¢
62–63°F13¢
64–65°F26¢
66–67°F29¢
68–69°F19¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,899 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.245.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20260919-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-09-12T07:48:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape