— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
9¢
eps
8¢
nbm
3¢
ndfd
2¢
hres
2¢
aifs
1¢
wn2
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F11¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F27¢
72–73°F21¢
74–75°F10¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,798 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.738 vs climatology 9.256.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20260920-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-09-13T07:52:53+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape