daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Sep 21

Minneapolis high ≥ 59°F · Mon Sep 21

89¢

american -830 · decimal 1.12

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 59°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		100¢
wn2		98¢
aifs		90¢
nbm		79¢
hres		64¢
rrfs		62¢
ndfd		59¢
hrrr		46¢
now		44¢
icon		14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

56–57°F4¢

58–59°F24¢

60–61°F42¢

62–63°F24¢

64–65°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260921-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-09-21T03:20:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape