daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Wed Sep 23

Minneapolis high ≥ 68°F · Wed Sep 23

38¢

american +164 · decimal 2.64

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		76¢
rrfs		58¢
ndfd		56¢
aifs		38¢
eps		34¢
wn2		33¢
hres		28¢
icon		5¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F0¢

62–63°F6¢

64–65°F25¢

66–67°F40¢

68–69°F23¢

70–71°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260923-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-18T03:02:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape