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daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Wed Sep 30

Minneapolis high ≥ 68°F · Wed Sep 30

85¢
american -555 · decimal 1.18
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1509/2409/30 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
97¢
wn2
94¢
eps
87¢
hres
83¢
icon
76¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
45¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F3¢
74–75°F17¢
76–77°F38¢
78–79°F31¢
80–81°F9¢
82–83°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20260930-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-25T18:08:50+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape