daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 3

Minneapolis high ≥ 64°F · Sat Oct 3

82¢

american -453 · decimal 1.22

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		96¢
aifs		88¢
hres		86¢
eps		75¢
icon		75¢
ndfd		55¢
nbm		44¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F12¢

66–67°F37¢

68–69°F37¢

70–71°F12¢

72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261003-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-09-26T11:29:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape