daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 3

Minneapolis high ≥ 68°F · Sat Oct 3

42¢

american +138 · decimal 2.38

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		68¢
wn2		58¢
ndfd		56¢
hres		49¢
aifs		46¢
nbm		41¢
eps		31¢
icon		24¢
hrrr		21¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261003-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-01T15:18:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape