— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
87¢
hres
86¢
wn2
72¢
nbm
55¢
aifs
51¢
icon
22¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F6¢
64–65°F16¢
66–67°F27¢
68–69°F27¢
70–71°F16¢
72–73°F6¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,729 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.524 vs climatology 9.016.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20261005-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-09-28T07:59:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape