— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
91¢
aifs
90¢
hres
88¢
eps
78¢
nbm
56¢
icon
35¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F4¢
72–73°F12¢
74–75°F23¢
76–77°F28¢
78–79°F20¢
80–81°F9¢
82–83°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,681 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.699 vs climatology 9.015.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20261006-TMAX-GE63 · opened 2026-09-29T08:08:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape