— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
92¢
aifs
91¢
hres
87¢
icon
76¢
eps
60¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
46¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F6¢
70–71°F16¢
72–73°F26¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F16¢
78–79°F6¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,786 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.698 vs climatology 8.991.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20261009-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-02T10:53:28+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape