— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
100¢
aifs
100¢
wn2
99¢
hres
96¢
eps
92¢
ndfd
84¢
nbm
79¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F3¢
80–81°F9¢
82–83°F20¢
84–85°F27¢
86–87°F23¢
88–89°F12¢
90–91°F4¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,789 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.976.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20261010-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-03T08:04:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape