daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sun Oct 11

Minneapolis high ≥ 86°F · Sun Oct 11

51¢

american -106 · decimal 1.94

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		95¢
aifs		66¢
ndfd		56¢
nbm		56¢
wn2		54¢
icon		51¢
hres		43¢
eps		30¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261011-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-10T04:17:16+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape