— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
12¢
nbm
11¢
hres
11¢
ndfd
5¢
eps
4¢
aifs
0¢
wn2
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
48–49°F1¢
50–51°F6¢
52–53°F16¢
54–55°F26¢
56–57°F26¢
58–59°F16¢
60–61°F6¢
62–63°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,249 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.884.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSP-20261015-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-10-08T07:38:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape