daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Fri Oct 16

Minneapolis high ≥ 50°F · Fri Oct 16

85¢

american -567 · decimal 1.18

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 50°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		94¢
rrfs		89¢
wn2		88¢
nbm		86¢
aifs		83¢
hres		82¢
ndfd		56¢
icon		49¢
hrrr		11¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261016-TMAX-GE50 · opened 2026-10-15T16:20:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape