daily prop · Minneapolis, MN · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Minneapolis high ≥ 62°F · Mon Oct 19

76¢

american -311 · decimal 1.32

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		100¢
hrrr		100¢
wn2		92¢
aifs		90¢
eps		76¢
hres		67¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
icon		48¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F5¢

62–63°F30¢

64–65°F46¢

66–67°F17¢

68–69°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSP-20261019-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:01+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape