— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
56¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
33¢
wn2
28¢
aifs
22¢
eps
15¢
hres
11¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F5¢
76–77°F14¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F28¢
82–83°F18¢
84–85°F7¢
86–87°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KMSY-20261024-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:26+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape