daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Sat Oct 24

New Orleans runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Sat Oct 24

4¢

american +2345 · decimal 24.45

on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		15¢
nbm		15¢
aifs		10¢
wn2		9¢
ndfd		7¢
hres		4¢
eps		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F1¢

74–75°F5¢

76–77°F14¢

78–79°F26¢

80–81°F28¢

82–83°F18¢

84–85°F7¢

86–87°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261024-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-18T14:55:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape