daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 25

New Orleans runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Sun Oct 25

2¢

american +4286 · decimal 43.86

on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		24¢
nbm		11¢
ndfd		11¢
aifs		9¢
wn2		8¢
hres		2¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F2¢

72–73°F7¢

74–75°F16¢

76–77°F24¢

78–79°F24¢

80–81°F17¢

82–83°F8¢

84–85°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,315 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.48 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261025-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape