daily prop · New Orleans, LA · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 27

New Orleans runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Tue Oct 27

4¢

american +2574 · decimal 26.74

on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		22¢
aifs		18¢
wn2		15¢
hres		11¢
icon		11¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F4¢

74–75°F10¢

76–77°F19¢

78–79°F24¢

80–81°F21¢

82–83°F13¢

84–85°F5¢

86–87°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,387 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.601 vs climatology 8.75.

Receipts

prop id WP-KMSY-20261027-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-20T10:53:34+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape