daily prop · Oklahoma City, OK · Plains & South Central · settles Thu Oct 22

Oklahoma City runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Thu Oct 22

15¢

american +564 · decimal 6.64

on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		51¢
aifs		39¢
wn2		39¢
eps		34¢
hres		29¢
icon		12¢
ndfd		10¢
nbm		4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F2¢

74–75°F6¢

76–77°F16¢

78–79°F26¢

80–81°F26¢

82–83°F16¢

84–85°F6¢

86–87°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOKC-20261022-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-15T07:50:01+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape