daily prop · Oklahoma City, OK · Plains & South Central · settles Fri Oct 23

Oklahoma City runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Fri Oct 23

11¢

american +790 · decimal 8.9

on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		39¢
hres		35¢
eps		34¢
wn2		32¢
icon		15¢
ndfd		12¢
nbm		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F2¢

74–75°F8¢

76–77°F18¢

78–79°F27¢

80–81°F25¢

82–83°F14¢

84–85°F5¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOKC-20261023-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape