— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
ndfd
54¢
eps
22¢
nbm
20¢
hres
19¢
aifs
18¢
icon
15¢
wn2
10¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F3¢
62–63°F9¢
64–65°F17¢
66–67°F23¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,156 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KOMA-20261019-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-12T11:35:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape