daily prop · Omaha, NE · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Omaha runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Mon Oct 19

2¢

american +4573 · decimal 46.73

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		14¢
icon		13¢
hres		8¢
aifs		3¢
eps		3¢
wn2		2¢
nbm		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F5¢

62–63°F14¢

64–65°F23¢

66–67°F26¢

68–69°F19¢

70–71°F9¢

72–73°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,306 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.693 vs climatology 8.865.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOMA-20261019-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape