daily prop · Omaha, NE · Plains & South Central · settles Wed Oct 21

Omaha runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Wed Oct 21

7¢

american +1235 · decimal 13.35

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		35¢
ndfd		31¢
aifs		26¢
wn2		25¢
eps		14¢
hrrr		11¢
icon		10¢
hres		6¢
nbm		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F7¢

72–73°F20¢

74–75°F31¢

76–77°F26¢

78–79°F12¢

80–81°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOMA-20261021-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-14T10:33:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape