— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
91¢
wn2
66¢
hres
65¢
eps
60¢
aifs
58¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
47¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F3¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F21¢
78–79°F17¢
80–81°F11¢
82–83°F5¢
84–85°F2¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,414 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KOMA-20261024-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-19T04:31:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape