daily prop · Omaha, NE · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 24

Omaha runs hot-for-here: 77°F+ · Sat Oct 24

49¢

american +104 · decimal 2.04

on the tape

77°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		82¢
wn2		68¢
hres		49¢
eps		40¢
aifs		38¢
ndfd		37¢
nbm		29¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F1¢

68–69°F2¢

70–71°F6¢

72–73°F12¢

74–75°F19¢

76–77°F21¢

78–79°F18¢

80–81°F12¢

82–83°F6¢

84–85°F2¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KOMA-20261024-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:41+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape