— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
64¢
eps
52¢
nbm
52¢
wn2
27¢
aifs
9¢
hres
4¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
42–43°F1¢
44–45°F1¢
46–47°F3¢
48–49°F5¢
50–51°F8¢
52–53°F11¢
54–55°F13¢
56–57°F14¢
58–59°F13¢
60–61°F11¢
62–63°F8¢
64–65°F5¢
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,387 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.601 vs climatology 8.75.
Receipts
prop id WP-KOMA-20261027-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-20T10:53:51+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape